Quantifying the Extent to Which Successful Juniors and Successful Seniors are Two Disparate Populations
Güllich, A., Barth, M., Macnamara, B.N. et al. Quantifying the Extent to Which Successful Juniors and Successful Seniors are Two Disparate Populations: A Systematic Review and Synthesis of Findings. Sports Med 53, 1201–1217 (2023).

ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND
To what extent does the pathway to senior elite success build on junior elite success? Evidence from longitudinal studies investigating athletes’ junior-to-senior performance development is mixed; prospective studies have reported percentages of juniors who achieved an equivalent competition level at senior age (e.g., international championships at both times) ranging from 0 to 68%. Likewise, retrospective studies have reported percentages of senior athletes who had achieved an equivalent competition level at junior age ranging from 2 to 100%. However, samples have been heterogeneous in terms of junior age categories, competition levels, sex, sports, and sample sizes.
OBJECTIVE
This study aimed to establish more robust and generalizable findings via a systematic review and synthesis of findings. We considered three competition levels—competing at a national championship level, competing at an international championship level, and winning international medals—and addressed three questions: (1) How many junior athletes reach an equivalent competition level when they are senior athletes? (2) How many senior athletes reached an equivalent competition level when they were junior athletes? The answers to these questions provide an answer to Question (3): To what extent are successful juniors and successful seniors one identical population or two disparate populations?
METHODS
We conducted a systematic literature search in SPORTDiscus, ERIC, ProQuest, PsychInfo, PubMed, Scopus, WorldCat, and Google Scholar until 15 March 2022. Percentages of juniors who achieved an equivalent competition level at senior age (prospective studies) and of senior athletes who had achieved an equivalent competition level at junior age (retrospective studies) were aggregated across studies to establish these percentages for all athletes, separately for prospective and retrospective studies, junior age categories, and competition levels. Quality of evidence was evaluated using the Mixed Methods Appraisal Tool (MMAT) version for descriptive quantitative studies.
RESULTS
Prospective studies included 110 samples with 38,383 junior athletes. Retrospective studies included 79 samples with 22,961 senior athletes. The following findings emerged: (1) Few elite juniors later achieved an equivalent competition level at senior age, and few elite seniors had previously achieved an equivalent competition level at junior age. For example, 89.2% of international-level U17/18 juniors failed to reach international level as seniors and 82.0% of international-level seniors had not reached international level as U17/18 juniors. (2) Successful juniors and successful seniors are largely two disparate populations. For example, international-level U17/18 juniors and international-level seniors were 7.2% identical and 92.8% disparate. (3) Percentages of athletes achieving equivalent junior and senior competition levels were the smallest among the highest competition levels and the youngest junior age categories. (4) The quality of evidence was generally high.
DISCUSSION
The findings question the tenets of traditional theories of giftedness and expertise as well as current practices of talent selection and talent promotion.
A PRISMA-P protocol was registered at https://osf.io/gck4a/.
Download the full article HERE.
Check out this previous post about performance relationship between junior and senior athletes.

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Dispositivos de ajuste: fundamental para el operacion estable y eficiente de las maquinas.
En el ambito de la ciencia contemporanea, donde la rendimiento y la fiabilidad del sistema son de alta importancia, los equipos de equilibrado desempenan un funcion esencial. Estos equipos especializados estan desarrollados para balancear y fijar componentes giratorias, ya sea en dispositivos manufacturera, transportes de desplazamiento o incluso en equipos hogarenos.
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Tambien, los sistemas de calibracion tienen una amplia utilizacion en el area de la fiabilidad y el monitoreo de calidad. Habilitan encontrar potenciales defectos, previniendo mantenimientos elevadas y danos a los equipos. Tambien, los datos generados de estos dispositivos pueden aplicarse para optimizar metodos y mejorar la presencia en buscadores de busqueda.
Las campos de implementacion de los equipos de calibracion cubren variadas ramas, desde la produccion de transporte personal hasta el monitoreo ecologico. No afecta si se trata de extensas manufacturas de fabrica o modestos locales hogarenos, los equipos de calibracion son indispensables para proteger un rendimiento optimo y sin detenciones.
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El Balanceo de Componentes: Elemento Clave para un Desempeño Óptimo
¿ En algún momento te has dado cuenta de movimientos irregulares en una máquina? ¿O tal vez escuchaste ruidos anómalos? Muchas veces, el problema está en algo tan básico como un desequilibrio en alguna pieza rotativa . Y créeme, ignorarlo puede costarte caro .
El equilibrado de piezas es una tarea fundamental tanto en la fabricación como en el mantenimiento de maquinaria agrícola, ejes, volantes, rotores y componentes de motores eléctricos . Su objetivo es claro: prevenir movimientos indeseados capaces de generar averías importantes con el tiempo .
¿Por qué es tan importante equilibrar las piezas?
Imagina que tu coche tiene una llanta mal nivelada . Al acelerar, empiezan las vibraciones, el volante tiembla, e incluso puedes sentir incomodidad al conducir . En maquinaria industrial ocurre algo similar, pero con consecuencias mucho más graves :
Aumento del desgaste en cojinetes y rodamientos
Sobrecalentamiento de componentes
Riesgo de fallos mecánicos repentinos
Paradas sin programar seguidas de gastos elevados
En resumen: si no se corrige a tiempo, una leve irregularidad puede transformarse en un problema grave .
Métodos de equilibrado: cuál elegir
No todos los casos son iguales. Dependiendo del tipo de pieza y su uso, se aplican distintas técnicas:
Equilibrado dinámico
Perfecto para elementos que operan a velocidades altas, tales como ejes o rotores . Se realiza en máquinas especializadas que detectan el desequilibrio en dos o más planos . Es el método más fiable para lograr un desempeño estable.
Equilibrado estático
Se usa principalmente en piezas como llantas, platos o poleas . Aquí solo se corrige el peso excesivo en una sola superficie . Es rápido, fácil y funcional para algunos equipos .
Corrección del desequilibrio: cómo se hace
Taladrado selectivo: se quita peso en el punto sobrecargado
Colocación de contrapesos: como en ruedas o anillos de volantes
Ajuste de masas: habitual en ejes de motor y partes relevantes
Equipos profesionales para detectar y corregir vibraciones
Para hacer un diagnóstico certero, necesitas herramientas precisas. Hoy en día hay opciones económicas pero potentes, tales como:
✅ Balanset-1A — Tu aliado portátil para equilibrar y analizar vibraciones
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Equilibrar rápidamente
Equilibrado dinámico portátil:
Respuesta inmediata sin mover equipos
Imagina esto: tu rotor inicia con movimientos anormales, y cada minuto de inactividad cuesta dinero. ¿Desmontar la máquina y esperar días por un taller? Olvídalo. Con un equipo de equilibrado portátil, resuelves sobre el terreno en horas, preservando su ubicación.
¿Por qué un equilibrador móvil es como un “paquete esencial” para máquinas rotativas?
Pequeño, versátil y eficaz, este dispositivo es la herramienta que todo técnico debería tener a mano. Con un poco de práctica, puedes:
✅ Evitar fallos secundarios por vibraciones excesivas.
✅ Minimizar tiempos muertos y mantener la operación.
✅ Operar en zonas alejadas, ya sea en instalaciones marítimas o centrales solares.
¿Cuándo es ideal el equilibrado rápido?
Siempre que puedas:
– Acceder al rotor (eje, ventilador, turbina, etc.).
– Instalar medidores sin obstáculos.
– Ajustar el peso (añadiendo o removiendo masa).
Casos típicos donde conviene usarlo:
La máquina presenta anomalías auditivas o cinéticas.
No hay tiempo para desmontajes (producción crítica).
El equipo es costoso o difícil de detener.
Trabajas en áreas donde no hay asistencia mecánica disponible.
Ventajas clave vs. llamar a un técnico
| Equipo portátil | Servicio externo |
|—————-|——————|
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| ✔ Ahorro a largo plazo (menos desgaste y reparaciones) | ❌ Costos recurrentes por servicios |
¿Qué máquinas se pueden equilibrar?
Cualquier sistema rotativo, como:
– Turbinas de vapor/gas
– Motores industriales
– Ventiladores de alta potencia
– Molinos y trituradoras
– Hélices navales
– Bombas centrífugas
Requisito clave: hábitat adecuado para trabajar con precisión.
Tecnología que simplifica el proceso
Los equipos modernos incluyen:
Apps intuitivas (guían paso a paso, sin cálculos manuales).
Análisis en tiempo real (gráficos claros de vibraciones).
Durabilidad energética (útiles en ambientes hostiles).
Ejemplo práctico:
Un molino en una mina mostró movimientos inusuales. Con un equipo portátil, el técnico detectó un desbalance en 20 minutos. Lo corrigió añadiendo contrapesos y ahorró jornadas de inactividad.
¿Por qué esta versión es más efectiva?
– Estructura más dinámica: Listas, tablas y negritas mejoran la legibilidad.
– Enfoque práctico: Se añaden ejemplos reales y comparaciones concretas.
– Lenguaje persuasivo: Frases como “recurso vital” o “previenes consecuencias críticas” refuerzan el valor del servicio.
– Detalles técnicos útiles: Se especifican requisitos y tecnologías modernas.
¿Necesitas ajustar el tono (más técnico) o añadir keywords específicas? ¡Aquí estoy para ayudarte! ️
Ofrecemos máquinas para balanceo!
Fabricamos directamente, construyendo en tres naciones simultáneamente: España, Argentina y Portugal.
✨Nuestros equipos son de muy alta calidad y como no somos vendedores sino fabricantes, nuestras tarifas son más bajas que las del mercado.
Hacemos entregas internacionales a cualquier país, revise la información completa en nuestro sitio web.
El equipo de equilibrio es transportable, liviano, lo que le permite balancear cualquier eje rotativo en todas las circunstancias.
Great site For Glass “Toys” 😉
Great site For Glass “Toys” 😉
Great site For Glass “Toys” 😉
Analizador de vibrasiones
La máquina de equilibrado Balanset-1A representa el fruto de mucha labor constante y esfuerzo.
Como desarrolladores de esta tecnología avanzada, tenemos el honor de cada unidad que sale de nuestras instalaciones.
No es solamente un artículo, sino también una respuesta que hemos mejorado constantemente para abordar inconvenientes complejos relacionados con desbalances en máquinas dinámicas.
Conocemos la dificultad que implica enfrentar interrupciones repentinas o mantenimientos caros.
Por ello diseñamos Balanset-1A enfocándonos en las demandas específicas de nuestros clientes. ❤️
Comercializamos Balanset-1A directamente desde nuestras sedes en España , Argentina y Portugal , garantizando despachos ágiles y confiables a destinos internacionales sin excepción.
Los agentes regionales están siempre disponibles para ofrecer asistencia técnica individualizada y orientación en el lenguaje que prefieras.
¡No somos solo una empresa, sino un equipo que está aquí para asistirte!
Vibración de motor
Comercializamos máquinas para balanceo!
Fabricamos directamente, produciendo en tres ubicaciones al mismo tiempo: Portugal, Argentina y España.
✨Nuestros equipos son de muy alta calidad y como no somos vendedores sino fabricantes, nuestras tarifas son más bajas que las del mercado.
Hacemos entregas internacionales en cualquier lugar del planeta, revise la información completa en nuestra página oficial.
El equipo de equilibrio es transportable, liviano, lo que le permite ajustar cualquier elemento giratorio en diversos entornos laborales.
Vape Scene in Singapore: Embracing Modern Relaxation
In today’s fast-paced world, people are always looking for ways to unwind, relax, and enjoy the moment — and for many, vaping has become a daily habit. In Singapore, where modern life moves quickly, the rise of vaping culture has brought with it a unique form of downtime . It’s not just about the devices or the clouds of vapor — it’s about flavor, convenience, and finding your own vibe.
Disposable Vapes: Simple, Smooth, Ready to Go
Let’s face it — nobody wants to deal with complicated setups all the time. That’s where disposable vapes shine. They’re perfect for people on the move who still want that satisfying hit without the hassle of charging, refilling, or replacing parts.
Popular models like the VAPETAPE UNPLUG / OFFGRID, LANA ULTRA II, and SNOWWOLF SMART HD offer thousands of puffs in one portable solution . Whether you’re out for the day or just need something quick and easy, these disposables have got your back.
New Arrivals: Fresh Gear, Fresh Experience
The best part about being into vaping? There’s always something new around the corner. The latest releases like the ELFBAR ICE KING and ALADDIN ENJOY PRO MAX bring something different to the table — whether it’s richer flavors .
The ELFBAR RAYA D2 is another standout, offering more than just puff count — it comes with a built-in screen , so you can really make it your own.
Bundles: Smart Choices for Regular Vapers
If you vape often, buying in bulk just makes sense. Combo packs like the VAPETAPE OFFGRID COMBO or the LANA BAR 10 PCS COMBO aren’t just practical — they’re also a better deal . No more running out at the worst time, and you save a bit while you’re at it.
Flavors That Speak to You
At the end of the day, it’s all about taste. Some days you want something icy and refreshing from the Cold Series, other times you’re craving the smooth, mellow vibes of the Smooth Series. Then there are those sweet cravings — and trust us, the Sweet Series delivers.
Prefer the classic richness of tobacco? There’s a whole series for that too. And if you’re trying to cut back on nicotine, the Pure Flavor Collection gives you all the flavor without the buzz.
Final Thoughts
Vaping in Singapore isn’t just a passing trend — it’s a lifestyle choice for many. With so many options available, from pocket-sized disposables to customizable devices, there’s something for everyone. Whether you’re new to the scene , or a long-time fan, the experience is all about what feels right to you — made personal for you.
vapesg
Vaping in Singapore: More Than Just a Trend
In today’s fast-paced world, people are always looking for ways to unwind, relax, and enjoy the moment — and for many, vaping has become a preferred method . In Singapore, where modern life moves quickly, the rise of vaping culture has brought with it a stylish escape. It’s not just about the devices or the clouds of vapor — it’s about flavor, convenience, and finding your own vibe.
Disposable Vapes: Simple, Smooth, Ready to Go
Let’s face it — nobody wants to deal with complicated setups all the time. That’s where disposable vapes shine. They’re perfect for those who value simplicity who still want that satisfying hit without the hassle of charging, refilling, or replacing parts.
Popular models like the VAPETAPE UNPLUG / OFFGRID, LANA ULTRA II, and SNOWWOLF SMART HD offer thousands of puffs in one sleek little package . Whether you’re out for the day or just need something quick and easy, these disposables have got your back.
New Arrivals: Fresh Gear, Fresh Experience
The best part about being into vaping? There’s always something new around the corner. The latest releases like the ELFBAR ICE KING and ALADDIN ENJOY PRO MAX bring something different to the table — whether it’s richer flavors .
The ELFBAR RAYA D2 is another standout, offering more than just puff count — it comes with a built-in screen , so you can really make it your own.
Bundles: Smart Choices for Regular Vapers
If you vape often, buying in bulk just makes sense. Combo packs like the VAPETAPE OFFGRID COMBO or the LANA BAR 10 PCS COMBO aren’t just practical — they’re also a better deal . No more running out at the worst time, and you save a bit while you’re at it.
Flavors That Speak to You
At the end of the day, it’s all about taste. Some days you want something icy and refreshing from the Cold Series, other times you’re craving the smooth, mellow vibes of the Smooth Series. Then there are those sweet cravings — and trust us, the Sweet Series delivers.
Prefer the classic richness of tobacco? There’s a whole series for that too. And if you’re trying to cut back on nicotine, the Nicotine-Free Range gives you all the flavor without the buzz.
Final Thoughts
Vaping in Singapore isn’t just a passing trend — it’s a lifestyle choice for many. With so many options available, from pocket-sized disposables to customizable devices, there’s something for everyone. Whether you’re exploring vaping for the first time , or an experienced user , the experience is all about what feels right to you — your way, your flavor, your style .
I am so pleased I happened upon this article. It was precisely what I needed to encounter!
Distilling complex concepts into readable content, or what I prefer to call, a minor miracle.